1 in 10 Medicare Advantage Members Just Lost Their Plan for 2026 — Here’s What It Means for You

If you or someone you love is on a Medicare Advantage plan, the ground just shifted under your feet — and most people don’t yet realize it.

A peer-reviewed research letter published in JAMA in February 2026, from a team at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, put a hard number on what many of us in this business have been watching unfold: roughly 2.9 million Medicare Advantage members — about 1 in 10 — are being forced out of their plans for 2026. Their insurance company either pulled out of the county entirely or shut down the plan they were on.

For context, the historical rate of forced disenrollment ran at about 1% from 2018 through 2024. It jumped to 6.9% in 2025, and now sits at 10% for 2026. That’s a tenfold increase in two years.

Why This Is Happening

The short version: several large insurers looked at rising medical costs and shifting federal payment rules, and decided they couldn’t make the Medicare Advantage math work in certain markets anymore. So they cut plans. Some smaller carriers exited entirely.

The people hit hardest, according to the research, were enrollees in PPO plans, plans from smaller carriers, plans with lower star ratings, and rural counties. If any of that describes your current plan, you should assume you’re closer to this problem than farther from it.

What Happens Next If You Get Forced Off Your Plan

Here’s the part almost no one talks about until it’s too late.

When your Medicare Advantage plan exits your county, you typically get a Special Enrollment Period to pick a new plan. That sounds like a solution. In many cases it isn’t.

Your options usually break down into three uncomfortable choices:

  • Enroll in a different Medicare Advantage plan — often one with a narrower network, a different provider list, and different drug coverage. Your current doctors may or may not be in-network. Your prescriptions may or may not be covered the same way.
  • Go back to Original Medicare — which covers about 80% of costs, leaving you exposed to the remaining 20% with no annual out-of-pocket cap. That’s why most people on Original Medicare add a Medicare Supplement (Medigap) plan to fill the gap.
  • Go back to Original Medicare and try to buy a Medigap plan — this is where the catch lives.

The Medigap Catch That Blindsides People

Federal law protects your right to buy any Medigap plan sold in your state, with no health questions asked, during a specific one-time six-month window that starts when you’re first 65 and enrolled in Medicare Part B.

If you missed that window because you went straight into Medicare Advantage, and you now need a Medigap plan because your Advantage plan disappeared, in most states the insurance company can look at your health history and either turn you down or raise your rate.

There are some situations that create guaranteed-issue rights — protected windows where you can buy Medigap without medical underwriting. Losing your Medicare Advantage plan because it exited your area is one of them. But the timing is tight (typically 63 days after your coverage ends) and the plans you’re guaranteed access to are a narrower set than you’d have during the original Open Enrollment Period.

This is why I’ve said for years, and will keep saying: the decision to enroll in Medicare Advantage isn’t fully reversible. It looks like a low-cost option going in. When the exit door slams shut, the underwriting door often does too.

What Medicare Beneficiaries Should Do Right Now

If you’re on a Medicare Advantage plan, here’s the checklist I’d walk any client through:

  • Read your Annual Notice of Change carefully. This letter comes every fall. It tells you whether your plan is continuing, changing, or exiting for the coming year.
  • Check whether your doctors and prescriptions are still covered. Even if your plan continues, the network and formulary can change year to year.
  • Know your guaranteed-issue rights. If your plan is exiting your area, you have a limited window to buy certain Medigap plans without health underwriting. Don’t miss it.
  • Talk to someone who doesn’t sell Medicare Advantage. I don’t. That’s a deliberate choice, not an oversight. If you’re getting advice only from someone who does, you’re getting one side of the picture.

Why I Don’t Sell Medicare Advantage

The Johns Hopkins study is the clearest third-party validation I’ve seen of the position I’ve held since day one of my practice. Medicare Advantage plans are heavily marketed, often with no monthly premium and extra perks that sound great. What the commercials don’t tell you is that the insurance company can leave the market and take your coverage with them — and once your health changes, getting back to Original Medicare with a supplement can be difficult or impossible.

I stick to Medicare Supplement plans, where you keep your own doctors, there’s no network to fight, and the coverage doesn’t disappear when a carrier decides a county isn’t profitable enough.

If You’re Reading This Because Your Plan Just Got Canceled

Don’t panic, but don’t wait either. Your guaranteed-issue window is real but limited. Call or text me at (623) 742-3878 (Arizona) or (910) 760-2124 (North & South Carolina) and let’s talk through what you actually qualify for right now. There’s no cost for the conversation, and I’ll tell you plainly whether a Medigap plan is a good fit for your situation — including when it isn’t.

You can also read the original Johns Hopkins research summary if you want to see the data yourself.

Source: Meiselbach MK, Lavallee M, Xu J, Polsky D. “Forced Disenrollments Among Medicare Advantage Beneficiaries Following 2026 Plan Exits.” JAMA, February 18, 2026. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.

9 Surprising Disadvantages to Medicare Advantage Very Few People Know

Depending on your budget, health, and plans for the future, Medicare Advantage might not be the best retirement health care solution for you.

Once you reach age 65, you become eligible for Medicare, the federal government’s health insurance program primarily geared toward seniors and retirees.

Whether you retire early or plan to work for several more years, have already turned 65, or are still a few birthdays away, it’s worth thinking about which Medicare plan you’ll sign up for when the time comes.

Medicare Advantage, or Medicare Part C, is one Medicare plan option, but is it the best choice for you, or should you stick with Original Medicare?

Here we’ll cover nine major reasons Medicare Advantage could conflict with your retirement goals, so you’ll have a better understanding of whether Medicare Advantage could work for you or if you should explore other Medicare coverage options.

It has a much smaller healthcare provider network

Most, though not all, American health care providers accept Original Medicare insurance. The same can’t be said for Medicare Advantage, which has a much smaller provider network.

If you’re trying to keep your current doctor, then it could lower your financial stress if you make sure they are in the network before going for a visit.

If finding a provider you love is important to you, Original Medicare will give you more options. With Medicare Advantage, you’ll have to settle for the best care you can find within the network.

Its service area is much smaller

Since Medicare is administered by the federal government, you can use it at any hospital or medical provider in the United States (as long as that provider accepts Medicare, which most do).

In contrast, Medicare Advantage’s smaller provider network is also extremely localized. Whenever you’re seeking non-emergency care, you’re limited to providers in your immediate area.

Its provider network is especially small for rural communities

No matter where in the country you live, Medicare Advantage’s network is smaller than Original Medicare’s network, but the network is especially limited for rural communities.

According to one study published in 2021, 10.5% of rural retirees who sign up for Medicare Advantage end up switching to original Medicare.

By way of comparison, only 5% of non-rural retirees switch away from Medicare Advantage.

It usually requires referrals to see specialists

With original Medicare, you typically can schedule a specialist visit even without a referral. With Medicare Advantage, you can’t simply call a specialist and schedule an appointment.

Instead, you may need a referral from a primary health care provider before you can speak with a specialist.

Pro tip: You may need to make some extra money if you have a health condition that requires frequent trips to a specialist.

It requires preauthorization for most high-cost services

Medicare Advantage plans often require preapproval for services such as inpatient hospital stays, dialysis, physical therapy, and psychiatric care. If you don’t get prior authorization when required, you may be responsible for the costs. Original Medicare, by contrast, generally doesn’t require preauthorization for these services.

It often requires preauthorization for Part B medications

Medicare Part B is the medical insurance section of Medicare, and it’s included in all Medicare Advantage plans.

However, you’ll need prior approval before your Medicare Advantage plan will help pay for any outpatient drugs prescribed under Part B (rather than Part D, which covers most other prescriptions).

Most Part B drugs that require preauthorization are injectable, including injectable medications for osteoporosis, injectable blood-clotting factors for hemophilia, and some oral and injectable end-stage renal disease medications.

It can require step therapy for Part B drugs

Step therapy refers to the practice of using a cheaper medication to treat a condition before moving to a more expensive medication.

Unlike original Medicare, Medicare Advantage plans can require step therapy for Part B medications, meaning your Medicare Advantage plan can refuse to cover medication prescribed by your doctor if there’s a cheaper alternative.

It might make hospital stays more expensive

Medicare Advantage might be cheaper for some retirees, especially those who mainly see healthcare providers for preventative health.

But if you end up in the hospital for a week, studies show that 50% of seniors using Medicare Advantage will pay more for that stay than seniors using original Medicare.

In other words, if you have poor health and know you’re at a higher risk of hospitalization, Medicare Advantage might cost you more over time than original Medicare.

It can make budgeting for health care even harder

Budgeting for health care can be tricky, especially on a fixed income. Original Medicare charges a predictable monthly premium, though you may still pay deductibles and coinsurance. Medicare Advantage plans often have lower or even $0 premiums, but you pay copays and coinsurance for services until reaching the plan’s out-of-pocket maximum, which can make monthly costs harder to predict.

Bottom line

Medicare Advantage plans can offer crucial benefits that make life easier for some retirees, especially those in good health with relatively few health care needs.

But it’s definitely not the right choice for everyone. You should weigh the pros and cons of your situation before making a final decision.

If you anticipate hospital stays, prefer to pick your own provider, and dislike the idea of getting prior approval for most expenses, original Medicare might be a better choice for you since you won’t need to make extra money to pay for insurance.

Author Details

Michelle Smith

Michelle Smith, a writer for FinanceBuzz, has spent a decade writing for and about small businesses. She specializes in all things finance and has written for publications like G2 and SmallBizDaily. When she’s not writing for work at her desk, you can usually find her writing for pleasure near large bodies of water.

? Why I’m Advising My Arizona Clients to Choose Plan G in 2026

As a local insurance expert helping retirees from Phoenix to Tucson, and across the Valley, I’m seeing a big shift this year. Many of my neighbors are asking if they should stick with a Medicare Advantage plan. While those “zero-premium” ads are everywhere in Arizona, there’s a lot they don’t tell you.

After reviewing the latest industry updates, I’m personally recommending Medicare Supplement Plan G for those who want total freedom and financial peace of mind. Here is why:

1. I want you to have “No-Hurdle” healthcare ? A major issue with many plans right now is “prior authorization”—where the insurance company has to approve a procedure before you can get it. This causes delays that none of us want. With Plan G, if Medicare covers it, your supplement pays. I want the decision-making in your doctor’s hands, not a corporation’s.

2. See any doctor in Arizona (and the U.S.) ? I hate seeing my clients limited by restricted networks. Whether you want to see a specialist at the Mayo Clinic in Scottsdale, a provider in Flagstaff, or even a doctor while visiting family back east, Plan G lets you go anywhere that accepts Medicare. No networks, no “out-of-network” penalties.

3. The ultimate “Snowbird” protection ✈️ Many of my clients in Mesa, Surprise, and Sun City split their time between states. Advantage plans are often tied to your local Arizona zip code. Because Plan G is nationwide, your coverage is just as strong in the Midwest as it is here in the desert.

4. No “Surprise” medical bills ? Advantage plans often have co-pays for every visit and hospital stay. I prefer the predictability of Plan G. Once you meet the small annual Part B deductible ($283 in 2026), your out-of-pocket costs for Medicare-covered services are zero. No more worrying about what the mail will bring after a doctor’s visit.

Your health deserves more than a “pay-as-you-go” plan. If you live in Scottsdale, Chandler, Peoria, or anywhere in the Grand Canyon State, let’s talk about how to protect your retirement.

? Give me a call today to discuss your 2026 options!

Contact Me Today

#ArizonaMedicare #MedicareSupplementArizona #PlanG #PhoenixHealthInsurance #TucsonRetirement #SunCityMedicare #MedicareExpertAZ #MedigapArizona #ScottsdaleSeniors

Trump’s Flat Medicare Advantage Rate May Harm Seniors’ Choices

Insurance CEOs Get Congress’s Ire For Rising Health Costs

Even before the Trump administration said the 2027 Medicare Advantage payment rate will be flat, insurers were pulling back from unprofitable markets.

But rising costs coupled by flat rates could trigger further withdrawals of health insurers from states and counties across the country, disrupting the choice of plan for millions of older adults enrolled in Medicare Advantage.

Already, some of the biggest names in health insurance including UnitedHealth Group’s UnitedHealthcare, CVS Health’s Aetna, Elevance Health, parent of several Blue Cross and Blue Shield plans, and Humana pulled back this year from sales of Medicare Advantage plans in certain markets after years of expanding their geographic footprints.

Take UnitedHealthcare, for example. The health insurer exited certain marketsfor this year and expects its Medicare Advantage enrollment to contract by more than 1.1 million older adults, the company said last Tuesday in its fourth quarter and annual 2025 earnings report.

When health insurers leave markets, it forces Medicare Advantage enrollees to pick new plans which may or may not have the same doctors and hospitals or benefit packages. Medicare Advantage plans contract with the federal government to provide traditional coverage available in traditional Medicare plus extra benefits and services to seniors, such as disease management and nurse help hotlines with some also offering vision, dental care and wellness programs.

Last week, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), which is run by a Trump-appointed administrator in celebrity physician Dr. Mehmet Oz, said they planned to raise rates paid to health insurers by 0.09 percent, which was less than what health insurers were expecting.

The lobby for health insurers already hinted last week that older Americans enrolled in Medicare Advantage plans could see more services and benefits reduced due to the proposed “flat program funding” proposed by CMS.

“Health plans welcome reforms to strengthen Medicare Advantage,” said Chris Bond, spokesman for America’s Health Insurance Plans (AHIP). “However, flat program funding at a time of sharply rising medical costs and high utilization of care will impact seniors’ coverage. If finalized, this proposal could result in benefit cuts and higher costs for 35 million seniors and people with disabilities when they renew their Medicare Advantage coverage in October 2026.”

Forbes Daily: Join over 1 million Forbes Daily subscribers and get our best stories, exclusive reporting and essential analysis of the day’s news in your inbox every weekday.

Such plans, which provide benefits for more than half of the nation’s Medicare beneficiaries, have been hit hard by rising costs in the last two years in part because seniors have a pent up demand for healthcare following the Covid-19 pandemic when many patients delayed treatment.

UnitedHealthcare is no exception. Its full year adjusted 2025 medical care ratio, which is the percentage of premium revenue that goes toward medical costs, was 88.9% compared to 85.5% in 2024. Adjusted medical care ratio was more than 91% in the fourth quarter.

“As part of our efforts to address elevated trend and funding cuts, we planned for some Medicare Advantage contraction in 2026,” UnitedHealthcare chief executive Tim Noel told analysts on UnitedHealth Group’s fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings call last week. “We now expect UHC Medicare Advantage contraction will be in the range of 1.3 million to 1.4 million members for the full-year, including group, individual and D-SNP.”

Elevance Health, too, which is the nation’s second-largest health insurance company, also disclosed last week that it was seeing rising healthcare costs. The company’s benefit expense ratio rose to 93.5 percent in the fourth quarter.

Elevance’s benefit expense ratio gradually rose over the last year. It was 91.3 percent in the third quarter, 88.9% and in the second quarter and 86.4% in the first quarter, according to earnings reports issued throughout last year.

“For 2026, we made deliberate changes to our plan offerings and intentionally exited select geographies, prioritizing plans that deliver value to members while producing sustainable financial performance,” Elevance chief financial officer Mark Kaye told analysts on the company’s fourth quarter and annual 2025 earnings call. “As you heard from (Elevance CEO) Gail (Boudreaux), we now expect Medicare Advantage membership to decline in the high teens percentage range in 2026 while achieving meaningful margin improvement.”

Insurance companies won’t disclose the markets they are participating in for Medicare Advantage for 2027 until this fall. Stay tuned.

The Great Medicare U-Turn: How to Switch Back to Original Medicare

The Great Medicare U-Turn: How to Switch Back to Original Medicare

If you’ve spent the last year realizing that “Advantage” doesn’t always feel like an advantage, you aren’t alone. Maybe your favorite specialist left the network, or you’re tired of asking for “prior authorization” just to get an MRI.

The good news? If you’re reading this in January, the door is wide open for a change. But before you jump ship, there’s a specific sequence you need to follow to avoid getting stranded without coverage.


1. The “Right Now” Window: The 2026 MA OEP

Since today is January 26, 2026, you are currently in the Medicare Advantage Open Enrollment Period (MA OEP). This runs from January 1 to March 31. The Fall Window: Annual Enrollment Period (AEP) Dates: October 15 – December 7.

During this time, you can:

Note: If you make the switch this month, your new coverage will typically begin on the 1st of the following month.


2. The Medigap “Trap”: Don’t Drop Your Plan Yet!

This is the most critical part of the U-turn. Unlike Medicare Advantage, which must take you regardless of health, Medigap (Medicare Supplement) providers in most states can use medical underwriting.

The Risk: If you have a pre-existing condition, a Medigap insurer can charge you more or deny you a policy entirely unless you have a “Guaranteed Issue Right.”

Do you have a “Guaranteed Issue Right”?

You generally don’t need a health screening if:

The Golden Rule: Secure your Medigap policy and get an acceptance letter before you officially disenroll from your Medicare Advantage plan.


3. Your 2026 Transition Checklist

Switching back involves a three-step dance. If you miss a step, you could face lifetime penalties or massive bills.

Step Action Why it matters
Step 1 Apply for Medigap Ensures your “gap” coverage is locked in before you leave your current plan.
Step 2 Join a Part D Plan Medicare Advantage usually includes drugs; Original Medicare does not. Missing this causes a late-enrollment penalty.
Step 3 Confirm Disenrollment Joining a standalone Part D plan usually automatically triggers your exit from Medicare Advantage, but always call your plan to confirm.

4. What Original Medicare Costs in 2026

Since you’re moving back to the “Original” way of doing things, here is a quick look at the 2026 rates:


Why People are Making the Switch

In 2026, the maximum out-of-pocket (MOOP) for Medicare Advantage plans can be as high as $9,250. For someone facing a major surgery or chronic illness, that “low premium” plan can suddenly become very expensive. Medigap Plan G, by contrast, covers nearly everything after you pay the small Part B deductible, giving you total “cost predictability.”

#healthinsurance #medicare #medigap #medicareadvantage #surprise, AZ #Sun City, AZ

Andy Orlikoff • NPN #7558435 • Licensed in Arizona, North Carolina & South Carolina
Verify this license at nipr.com
Call Now Get a Quote